live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog



Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

UNC Wilmington

Conference:CAA
Expected RPI:45.0
Current RPI:45
Expected SOS:131
Current Record:23-7
Expected Record:23-7
Current Conf Record:17-4
Expected Conf Record:17-4
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-1
Current OOC Record:6-3
Expected OOC Record:6-3
Expected OOC RPI:135
Expected OOC SOS:305


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
23-776.67%45.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UNC Wilmington.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCH78-59W100%0.0
11-21Western Michigan (202.0)MACH80-76W100%0.0
11-28East Tennessee St. (85.0)SCA73-94W100%0.0
12-12Georgetown (106.0)BEA87-82L0%0.0
12-16East Carolina (217.0)AmerA78-73L0%0.0
12-19Radford (192.0)BSthA69-67L0%0.0
12-22Utah Valley (272.0)WACN102-77W100%0.0
12-23UMKC (286.0)WACN56-76W100%0.0
12-28Campbell (308.0)BSthH106-83W100%0.0
12-31Drexel (247.0)CAAH75-63W100%0.0
1-2Northeastern (109.0)CAAH63-65L0%0.0
1-7Towson (150.0)CAAA76-60L0%0.0
1-9Delaware (274.0)CAAA67-85W100%0.0
1-14Elon (160.0)CAAA82-91W100%0.0
1-16William & Mary (67.0)CAAH97-94W100%0.0
1-21Delaware (274.0)CAAH79-70W100%0.0
1-24Drexel (247.0)CAAA71-77W100%0.0
1-28James Madison (103.0)CAAA73-78W100%0.0
1-30College of Charleston (135.0)CAAH65-55W100%0.0
2-4Hofstra (54.0)CAAA67-70W100%0.0
2-6Northeastern (109.0)CAAA73-90W100%0.0
2-11Elon (160.0)CAAH86-82W100%0.0
2-13James Madison (103.0)CAAH78-68W100%0.0
2-18William & Mary (67.0)CAAA87-69L0%0.0
2-20College of Charleston (135.0)CAAA55-59W100%0.0
2-25Hofstra (54.0)CAAH69-70L0%0.0
2-27Towson (150.0)CAAH74-68W100%0.0
3-5College of Charleston (135.0)CAAN66-64W100%0.0
3-6Northeastern (109.0)CAAN73-70W100%0.0
3-7Hofstra (54.0)CAAN73-80W100%0.0